Expected DA from July 2013 is 90% – Consumer Price Index (Industrial
Workers) for the month of April 2013 released – 2 Point increase in CPI (IW)
Expected DA from July 2013 – Ministry of Labour and
Employment has released AICPI (IW) – All India Consumer Price Index (Industrial
Workers) for the month of April 2013. This index gains significance as far as
central government employees and pensioners are concerned as determination of
Dearness Allowance twice in a year is based on AICPI (IW).
All India Consumer Price Index for the period from
July 2012 to June 2013 will be required to calculate expected DA from July
2013, for Central Government Employees and Pensioners
AICPI (IW) for the period from July 2013 to April
2013
|
Month
|
AICPI-IW
|
|
Jul 2012
|
212
|
|
Aug 2012
|
214
|
|
Sep 2012
|
215
|
|
Oct 2012
|
217
|
|
Nov 2012
|
218
|
|
Dec 2012
|
219
|
|
Jan 2013
|
221
|
|
Feb 2013
|
223
|
|
Mar 2013
|
224
|
|
Apr 2013
|
226
|
|
May 2013
|
To be released in the month June 2013
|
|
Jun 2013
|
To be released in the month July 2013
|
Two Scenarios on the progression of AICPI (IW)
|
Scenario 1 (AICPI for May and June 2013 assumed
to be same)
|
Scenario 2 (AICPI for May and June 2013 assumed
to be 231 and 234)
|
|
|
Month
|
AICPI-IW
|
AICPI-IW
|
|
Jul 2012
|
212
|
212
|
|
Aug 2012
|
214
|
214
|
|
Sep 2012
|
215
|
215
|
|
Oct 2012
|
217
|
217
|
|
Nov 2012
|
218
|
218
|
|
Dec 2012
|
219
|
219
|
|
Jan 2013
|
221
|
221
|
|
Feb 2013
|
223
|
223
|
|
Mar 2013
|
224
|
224
|
|
Apr 2013
|
226
|
226
|
|
May 2013 (expected)
|
226
|
231
|
|
Jun 2013 (expected)
|
226
|
234
|
|
Expected DA
|
90%
|
91%
|
Scenario 1:
If we assume that AICPI (IW) for May and June 2013
will be same viz., 226 for the months of May 2013 and June 2013 the expected DA
for the Central Government Employees and pensioners will be 90%, which is 10%
more than the present 80%
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