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Expected DA from July 2013 is 90% – Consumer Price Index (Industrial Workers) for the month of April 2013 released – 2 Point increase in CPI (IW)

Expected DA from July 2013 – Ministry of Labour and Employment has released AICPI (IW) – All India Consumer Price Index (Industrial Workers) for the month of April 2013. This index gains significance as far as central government employees and pensioners are concerned as determination of Dearness Allowance twice in a year is based on AICPI (IW).

All India Consumer Price Index for the period from July 2012 to June 2013 will be required to calculate expected DA from July 2013, for Central Government Employees and Pensioners

AICPI (IW) for the period from July 2013 to April 2013

Month
AICPI-IW
Jul 2012
212
Aug 2012
214
Sep 2012
215
Oct 2012
217
Nov 2012
218
Dec 2012
219
Jan 2013
221
Feb 2013
223
Mar 2013
224
Apr 2013
226
May 2013
To be released in the month June 2013
Jun 2013
To be released in the month July 2013

Two Scenarios on the progression of AICPI (IW)

Scenario 1 (AICPI for May and June 2013 assumed to be same)
Scenario 2 (AICPI for May and June 2013 assumed to be 231 and 234)
Month
AICPI-IW
AICPI-IW
Jul 2012
212
212
Aug 2012
214
214
Sep 2012
215
215
Oct 2012
217
217
Nov 2012
218
218
Dec 2012
219
219
Jan 2013
221
221
Feb 2013
223
223
Mar 2013
224
224
Apr 2013
226
226
May 2013 (expected)
226
231
Jun 2013 (expected)
226
234
Expected DA
90%
91%

Scenario 1:

If we assume that AICPI (IW) for May and June 2013 will be same viz., 226 for the months of May 2013 and June 2013 the expected DA for the Central Government Employees and pensioners will be 90%, which is 10% more than the present 80%

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